Bitcoin halving will have to battle with ‘weak time of year’ — Coinbase


Many crypto traders are eyeing the Bitcoin (BTC) halving event as a primary driver for a potential price spike, but the time of year will be an obstacle, according to cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase.

The crypto market will need to find another narrative to further push up prices across the board, Coinbase further explained in its April 5 market commentary report.

“The BTC halving, currently due April 20 or 21, could be a catalyst for higher prices, but it will have to contend with what is typically a weak time of year for crypto markets and other risk assets,” the exchange stated.

Bitcoin has typically seen a monthly return of about 2.7% from June to September since 2011, while in the other eight months averaged a return of around 19.3%, as per data from digital assets research firm Brave New Coin.

Meanwhile, Coinbase further noted that overall crypto volumes “have also continued to slow as the market tries to find the next narrative to power it higher.”

Over the last 24 hours, the total crypto volume was $61.78 billion, representing a33.25% decrease from the previous day, as per CoinMarketCap data.

However, the crypto exchange sees signs pointing towards the likelihood of an increase in new investors entering the crypto market in the near future:

“In our view, bitcoin’s increased acceptance as a form of “digital gold” could enable demand from a new subset of investors in this market regime.”

Bitcoin’s dominance in the overall crypto market is 50.6%, according to CoinStats data. This represents the market capitalization of Bitcoin relative to the overall crypto market.

Bitcoin dominance chart. Source: CoinStats

Furthermore, the report explained that those invesawaiting price declines to buy in may find the troughs to be less and less, as more investors get involved.

“As a result, we think dips are likely to be more aggressively bought compared to previous cycles, even as volatility persists during price discovery,” Coinbase wrote.

Halving events have frequently been associated with spikes in the price of Bitcoin. 

Following the previous halving event in May 2020, Bitcoin’s price surged. Starting at $8,787 during the halving, the cryptocurrency experienced a rally, eventually reaching nearly $69,000 in November 2021.

Related: Coinbase cleared in lawsuit over crypto transactions

On April 6, Cointelegraph reported that the U.S. Court of Appeals ruled in favor of Coinbase, confirming that the secondary sales of cryptocurrencieson its platform do not violate the Securities Exchange Act.

The plaintiffs contended that Coinbase was offering and selling unregistered securities. Furthermore, they accused the exchange of violating various provisions of securities laws.

However, Coinbase argued that secondary crypto-asset sales didn’t meet securities transaction criteria, disputing the relevance of securities regulations

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